As I’ll prove to you in a moment, the hard-nosed reality is that five major economic cyclones are in progress at this very moment.

The storms are not abating. Nor are they changing direction. Quite the contrary, what you see today is, at best, merely a deceptive calm before the next, even larger tempests.

For investors who follow Wall Street, it could be fatal.

For contrarian investors, however, this insanity opens up some of the greatest opportunities in many years: Precisely when we see plunging barometers all around us, we also have a new surge of hype on Wall Street, driving stock prices higher.

Result: The rally has lowered the cost of contrary investments precisely when their prospects are best. Consider the five storms, and you’ll see exactly what I mean …

Storm #1.
Plunging Jobs

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that job losses were running at a slightly slower pace than in the first quarter. So Wall Street cheered.

But it’s a joke, and the 539,000 additional Americans out of work aren’t laughing.

Nor are the 23 million people – 15.8 percent of the work force – who are officially unemployed … are struggling with lower paying part-time jobs … or have given up looking for work entirely.

Look. In December 2007, there were 138.1 million jobs in America. Now, there are only 132.4 million.

So even if you accept the government’s tally of the narrowest unemployment measure, 5.7 million jobs have been lost.

Plot those figures on a chart and the picture is absolutely unambiguous: Jobs in America are collapsing. Right here and now!

Where’s that “slightly slower pace of collapse” they’re raving about? You’d need a microscope to see it.

Storm #2
U.S. Housing Starts Down 77.6 Percent!

Housing is the nation’s largest industry. With it, the entire global economy boomed in the mid-2000s. Without it, a recovery is next to impossible.

The big picture: Housing starts, the best measure of the industry’s health, peaked at an annual pace of 2.3 million units in early 2006.

Now, they’re running at barely more than a 0.5 million units.

That’s a decline of 77.6 percent – three-quarters of America’s largest single industry wiped out.

Yes, back in February, there was a tiny uptick: Starts rose from 488,000 to 572,000. And everywhere we heard voices cheering the “spectacular” jump in housing starts.

What they didn’t tell you is that the so-called “jump” was actually smaller than six of the seven minor upticks we’ve seen in housing starts since 2006. Nor did you hear them say much when this measure fell anew in March.

Subscriber, this industry is not recovering. It remains in a state of near total collapse.

The only major change: Lenders have given up waiting for a recovery that never comes. So they’re throwing in the towel, unloading huge inventories of foreclosed properties at fire-sale prices. And they’re calling that a “recovery”?

This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.

With all that’s happening in the current market and so many conflicting opinions in the news everyday, how do you recommend people approach investing today?

The most important thing is to NOT invest emotionally, but rather objectively. The average investor is panicking now and piling into low yielding investments like CDs, savings and money market accounts – the equivalent of socking cash under the mattress. For some wealthy individuals, late in retirement, this may be prudent. However, for most investors, significant future damage may be occurring from this seemingly comfortable, short-term, benign strategy. The problem is that life expectancies are stretching; boomers/retirees are more active, and inflation (i.e. healthcare, food, vacation, etc.) will eat away at these so-called safe investments. The fact of the matter is there are a lot of opportunities now – especially as fear levels have risen so dramatically. And the opportunities do not only lie in the stock market. There are a lot of excellent investment prospects in the fixed income market as well.

Is it true that people haven’t actually lost their money if they don’t sell their stocks for a lower price?

Stocks in some respect are no different than other asset classes. You can think about stocks in the same way you think about the value of your house. If you are in the process of selling your home and the house price craters, you will experience a loss in home value. The prospective buyer will encounter a simultaneous gain, in the form of a lower price (the buyer gets to keep more money in his/her pocket). It is true that lower stock prices on unsold positions are only “paper losses,” and if prices rebound above the prices purchased then there will be “paper gains.” True gains or losses will not occur until the stock positions are sold.

The media buzz is that this is a great time for people to make a lot of money; can you explain that?

The old adage of “buy low, sell high” rings true during volatile periods like now. Most domestic equity indexes corrected by more than -40% from the peak levels experienced in late 2007. Historically these terrifying periods have been the best times to buy. For example, take the 1974 bear market, which experienced a price correction of about 50%. During that period we were in a deep recession with 9% unemployment, we had just come out of the Vietnam War, and President Nixon resigned after impeachment hearings. At the time, the S&P 500 index bottomed out at a level of approximately 61. Last Friday (2/6/09), the same index closed around 868, a 1,300%+ increase over that period (excluding dividends). Not too shabby.

The economic environment wasn’t pretty either if we fast forward to the 1990-91 period when we were knee-deep in the first Iraqi war, going through a recession (8% unemployment), and digging our way out of the S&L Crisis (Savings & Loan). Yet again, this was a great opportunity to invest as the markets have about tripled over that period, excluding the benefit of dividends (S&P 500 bottomed at around 295 in late 1990).

After the 2008 mark downturn, many people are afraid to invest. What do you suggest for them?

Unfortunately, there is no silver bullet. Everybody’s situation is different. My suggestion for a 29 year old in the wealth accumulation phase of his career would be dramatically different from a 79 year old retiree that is in the distribution phase of her investing cycle.

The best thing people can do is to educate themselves about investments. There are a lot of aggressive sharks out in the investment waters and to survive in the long run investors need to equip themselves with relevant questions to ask financial advisors and institutions in order to protect their investments. There are some great low cost tax efficient products (e.g. index funds and exchange traded funds) and strategies that I discuss in more detail in my book.

In light of current events, how can investors improve investment performance over the long run?

The low hanging fruit for investors is to drive down excessive fees and transaction costs charged by brokers and financial institutions. John Bogle, the very successful founder of The Vanguard Group, did an eighteen year study (1984-2002) showing that individual investors underperformed the “do-nothing” index strategy by more than 10%…PER YEAR. The cause, a standard fee structure of approximately 2.5% (1% load, 1% management fee, .5% transaction costs) that many investors pay, which doesn’t even account for additional tax expenses. The annual -10% underperformance is not only due to fat fees, but also from poor emotional decisions tied to the “herd” trading mentality. A sensible, unemotional approach to investing should also incorporate a “dollar-cost-averaging” strategy that purchases additional shares for each dollar invested as prices decline.

What should people do that have stocks that took a nose dive?

It really depends on the particular investment. Each stock should be thoroughly reviewed on a case by case basis. If fundamental investing is the driving force behind your investments, then I believe individuals need a systematic strategy to buy securities and sell securities. As part of this disciplined approach, I urge investors to have a thesis (basis) for ownership and if that thesis changes you can use that dynamic as a foundation for your sell signal. There will be winners and losers as we work our way through this financial crisis and recession, but with each recession and bear market there is a renewal of leadership that builds for the ensuing bull market. Tax loss considerations can play a role in the sale decision of underperforming stocks, but should not be the key determinant.

Lastly, do you have any tips for someone who may be considering investing for the first time in the current economic climate?

Now is a great time to start investing relative to a year ago. Don’t get discouraged by the market volatility. First time investors have extremely long investment horizons, therefore heightened volatility can be viewed in a beneficial light. Diversification through fund investing is another important principle that new investors should embrace. As experience levels expand for newbie investors, expanding exposure to individual stocks can become a larger priority. Until then, my advice to first-timers is to take a more conservative stance.

NOTE:

Wade is also offering a free ebook which shares excerpts from his book, for a limited time. Be sure to stop by his website to get a copy www.Sidoxia.com. This is your chance to take a look inside the book and to learn additional information about Wade Slome and his business.

For more information about Wade Slome and his virtual tour, check the schedule at http://virtualblogtour.blogspot.com/2008/12/how-i-managed-20000000000-by-age-32-by.html

Jon said “Signing up with them isn’t hard at all. You just have to fill out a few pages of personal info and then give them your current banking info so they can deposit a few small deposits into your account. Once you see them in your account you then confirm the deposits and then your ready to go. It total it took me 3 days to sign up.

High Yield Online Savings Accounts (Again, I am not making any money if you sign up with one of these banks)
Providentdirect = 3.25%
ING Direct = 2.50%
E-Trade (affiliate link) = 3.01% (I know a few happy people using e-trade) “

No minimum Balance and No Monthly fees !!

What are you waiting on ? If you’re looking for other competitive online bank rates, you should take a look at these savings account rates. Rates aren’t as high as they once were, which is all the more reason to find a good rate. You can also take a look at the best CD rates to lock in a rate if you find a worthwhile rate.

This guest post is by ‘mortgagespecialist’,

a member of www.mortgagefit.com,

the world’s largest mortgage community.

In the last week of October, 2008, the demand for mortgage application dropped to an eight-year low. According to a trade group, this has been propelled by an approximately 30% decline in demand for mortgage refinancing because the borrowing expenses have gone up.

The seasonally adjusted mortgage application index of The Mortgage Banker’s Association that comprises both home buying and home refinance loans, skidded 20.3% to 379.9 for the week ending 31st October, 2008. This has been labeled as the most pathetic showing since the month of December 2000.

From early September 2008, a drastic swing has been noticed in the application requests for home purchase and mortgage refinancing while global financial markets were facing turmoil.

A number of government interventions targeted at cutting down mortgage expenses still have not been able to control the situation.

Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates went up by 0.21% to 6.47% in the last week of October 2008 and this corresponded to the level of the week ending 10th October, 2008.

As per that trade group, the interest rate for fixed rate mortgage loans is inching closer to the highest rate of 6.59% of this year that was attained in the summer. Moreover, this is much higher than the 2008 low of 5.49% in the month of January, 2008.

According to the analysts’ opinion, there is no basis to anticipate that there would be a turnaround in the housing industry when 30-year fixed mortgage rates are on the upper limits for a period of six years, unemployment is at a 5-year high and still soaring, as well as an additional supply of houses that have not been sold is forcing prices to go down further.

Growing concerns about probable job cuts have lowered the confidence of the consumers and this has also stirred up a panic about an intensifying recession and led to reducing demand for home buys.

In October 2008, planned job cuts or retrenchments at U.S. based firms soared to an approximately 5-year high and this was an increase of 19% since September 2008. As per the report of Challenger, Gray & Christmas, an outplacement firm, this resulted from the problems stemming from banking and housing industries that impacted the wider economy.

Home prices in the U.S. have gone down higher than 20% off the ceiling that was fixed in the summer of 2006 on the basis of the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller index. The prices are usually expected to lose another 10%.

The Mortgage Banker’s Association stated that its seasonally adjusted purchase index slumped 13.9% to 260.9 in the last week of October 2008, the minimum since the month of December 2000. At the same time, in the last week of October 2008, its refinancing applications index dipped 27.8% to 1,075.4.

In the summer of 2008, the number of mortgage refinancing applications had decreased because mortgage rates escalated during this period, resulting in the index to drop to a significant low till late August, 2008.

Consumer confidence is a difficult thing to measure, but the latest Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) from Nationwide Building Society, which is based on a survey of consumer opinion, rates consumer confidence at its lowest in at least four years (the index did not exist before 2004).

The evidence is there: budget supermarkets are boasting their highest profits in years, sales of new cars have fallen 21% in a year, and more established High Street chains such as John Lewis and BHS have announced significant falls in profits. It would seem that consumers are becoming increasingly eager to save money where possible.

Consumer confidence and loan availabity

Traditionally, consumer confidence has primarily been a concern for providers of consumer goods and services. Banks and building societies, meanwhile, can sometimes benefit from reduced consumer confidence: when customers do not spend their money, it stays in their bank accounts, which provides funds for financial institutions to do business with. It also encourages taking out loans to finance more expensive purchases, which earns the lender interest.

However, with the uncertainty surrounding the financial sector at the moment, this situation could change. With a number of banks merging and others reporting large falls in profits, the old cliché of keeping savings under a mattress might not be such an exaggeration.

However, a spokesperson for Think Money said that savings are still very important – not only for financial security, but for the good of their lenders too. “Consumer confidence is important to lenders, because they too rely on continuous business,” she said. “If lots of customers withdraw their savings in a short period of time, the banks could be left with very little money to do anything with, meaning they would have little money left to fund loans and other forms of credit. In a worst-case scenario, they could even fail.

“Our advice to consumers is not to panic and to try to carry on as normal. Take confidence from the fact that lenders are still offering loans to customers, which they simply wouldn’t do if the money wasn’t there.

“The Government’s £50bn rescue plan, combined with the recent half-point base rate drop, will only serve to improve lenders’ ability to offer loans – it may just take a little longer to find the right deal.”

Free Guest post by loan and mortgage specialists www.ThinkMoney.com

If your looking for bargains, now is a good time to snatch them… I don’t think I need to say anything else.

Current Dow Jones Industrial Index Value: 8,577.91

Trade Time: 4:04PM / 15/110/2008

We already know that Jim Cramer suggested stock owners should get rid of stock if they need it desperately within the next 5 years. What do you plan to do ?

Ramith cover’s some fundamentals we should all be aware of.

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